Difference between revisions of "When will the war in Ukraine end And 9 more questions about Russias invasion NPR"

From EECH Central
Jump to: navigation, search
m
m
Line 1: Line 1:
<p>This would be a defensive pact, but not a commitment to take direct part in any future offensive operations Ukraine might choose to undertake. The obvious strategy is to try to break the road and rail corridor linking Russia proper to occupied Crimea, so cutting off the peninsula from its hinterland, with an attack towards Melitopol or Berdansk. Combine that with another attack on the now repaired 12-mile (19km) Kerch Bridge to the Russian mainland and Crimea would be increasingly isolated and vulnerable. However, it is hard to imagine Russia striking very far west, given the painfully slow advance around Bakhmut and the catastrophic attempt to capture Vuhledar. Currently, western intelligence estimates Russia is taking 1,000 casualties a day.</p><br /><br /><ul><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>That conflict, also between neighbours, was fundamentally fought over territory and resources.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>The latter might be deterred in part by NATO nuclear maneuvers or by Chinese, Indian, or other international opposition.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>“People think it’s going to be over quickly, but, unfortunately, war doesn’t work like that,” he said.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>There were sporadic protests across the nation, and these threatened to grow in size.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>It did so over the entire length of the war from the seeming collapse of the Taliban in 2002 to U.S. withdrawal and the collapse of the Afghan government and forces in 2021.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>As the UNDP data shown earlier indicates, Ukraine now must actively defend against sustained missile attacks on its economy and civil structure and against a Russia that seems willing to attack its civil population and wage the equivalent of political and economic warfare.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br /> <br /><br /> <br /><br /></ul><br /><br /><p>Russia's defence budget has tripled since 2021 and will consume 30% of government spending next year. The US defence aid package is held hostage by what President Biden rightly labelled "petty politics" in Washington. And the future of the EU's economic aid is seemingly dependent on Hungary's incongruous stance. President Volodomyr Zelensky has admitted his country's spring offensive has not been the success he hoped. Balazs Orban, chief political aide to the prime minister, said Hungary sent a proposal to the EU over the weekend showing it was open to using the budget for the aid package if other "caveats" were added.</p><br /><br /><h2>After a year of war in Ukraine, all signs point to more misery with no end in sight</h2><br /><br /><p>While no one can provide definitive answers, academic research on war gives us some insights into how the conflict in Ukraine might unfold. Peter A. Wilson is an adjunct senior international and defense researcher at the nonprofit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation and teaches a course on the history of military technological innovation at the Osher Lifelong Learning Institute. William Courtney is an adjunct senior fellow at RAND and was U.S. ambassador to Kazakhstan, Georgia, and the U.S.-USSR commission to implement the Threshold Test Ban Treaty. If the ground freezes deep and long enough, Ukraine's army might conduct combined arms operations to push deeper into occupied areas. Even Crimea could be vulnerable if Ukrainians seized the rail hub of Melitopol.</p><br /><br /><ul><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Unnamed Indian government sources have suggested India wants to distance itself from Russia, according to Reuters news agency.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>The United States and Europe would conduct rival arms races and military build-ups with Russia while in a state of political and economic confrontation and competing for influence on a global level.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>A wide variety of unclassified official statements and media reports show that NATO and member country military planners are focusing on the right priorities.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Russian forces are already trying to slow down tanks in Ukraine with mines, trenches, and pyramidical, concrete “dragon’s teeth,” a type of fortification not seen in combat since World War II.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>The recent arms donations — Kyiv still wants fighter aircraft and long-range tactical missiles — are predicated on the assumption they’ll force Moscow to end its invasion and begin negotiations because military costs are too high.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Recently, Ukrainian forces took back half the land in eastern and southern Ukraine, which Russians seized in the second invasion launched on February 24, including the only regional capital taken since then, Kherson.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br /> <br /><br /> <br /><br /></ul><br /><br /><p>Although Putin attempted to build up a financial bulwark that would allow him to protect the interests of the oligarchs, the sanctions imposed by the west have undercut most of his efforts. Other strategic partners in Asia, the MENA region, and the rest of the world will see Ukraine as a test of U.S. capability beyond military terms. They will see the war as a test of U.S. capability to compete at a diplomatic and economic level. At least some will also see the war as a test of just how much the United States is focusing on China to the point where its commitments outside Taiwan and dealing with China have far less importance. This strategy also allows the United States to fully examine peace options, work with its allies to meet their concerns, and wait to push options forward when the time is right. It is also clear that even compromised real peace will be better for all sides than a bad war.</p><br /><br /><h3>Ukraine's gains</h3><br /><br /><p>This is partly because of the uncertainties surrounding the level of US and European support, a matter to which I will return in my conclusion. But it was largely because of the meagre returns from Ukraine’s intensive efforts to liberate more territory. Mr Danilov said they included security forces, officials and representatives of Russia's oligarchs, who believe that Mr Putin's decision to launch a full invasion of Ukraine in February last year has been a personal disaster for them as well as a threat to Russia.</p><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><p>Only aircraft deployed to protect energy facilities, or those carrying top Russian or foreign officials, will be allowed to fly with special permission in the designated zones, according to the Vedomosti daily newspaper. Unnamed Indian government sources have suggested India wants to distance itself from Russia, according to Reuters news agency. " [https://ambitious-camel-g3r4ks.mystrikingly.com/blog/how-will-russia-s-war-with-ukraine-end-here-are-5-possible-outcomes-60094602-7656-4808-8abb-0a68ee4d7aaf https://ambitious-camel-g3r4ks.mystrikingly.com/blog/how-will-russia-s-war-with-ukraine-end-here-are-5-possible-outcomes-60094602-7656-4808-8abb-0a68ee4d7aaf] and constructive dialogue is expected to improve relations between states," the Ukrainian president's office said on its official channel on the Telegram messaging app alongside a photo of Mr Szijjarto, Mr Kuleba and Mr Yermak. Mr Szijarto will be in the western Ukrainian city of Uzhhorod with his Ukrainian counterpart Dmytro Kuleba and presidential chief of staff Andriy Yermak. Peter Szijjarto has arrived in Ukraine for talks with senior officials today.</p><br /><br /><br /><br /><p>Still, it’s an open question whether the U.S. will be able to indefinitely continue its current level of support, said Mark Cancian, a CSIS senior adviser who has studied the volumes of artillery used in the war. Also in the mix is a pledge from France to ship AMX-10 RC light, wheeled tanks. And its use carries with it the risk, again, of even greater involvement in the war by the U.S. But it could also, at least temporarily, halt the advance of the Ukrainian Army.</p><br /><br /><ul><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>But it was a reminder that Russian doctrine allows for the possible use of tactical nuclear weapons on the battlefield.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>But Russia under Putin has never ended its wars at the negotiating table; at best it has frozen them, keeping its options open.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Even if there was a sudden interest in peace negotiations these could well be played for time and propaganda effect without much expectation that they would lead to an agreement.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Like Stalin’s invasion of Finland in the Winter War of 1939, the Russian army is bogged down and bloodied by a much smaller, outgunned enemy.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br /> <br /><br /> <br /><br /></ul><br /><br /><p>That said, there wasn't much of a political will for third countries to sanction Cuba at the time. It's possible today's situation with Russia might make such a policy more politically palatable if the U.S. attempted it again, though I can't find any serious proposal in the government to do just that. It is theoretically possible for the U.S. to sanction countries that maintain economic ties with Russia.</p><br /><br /><ul><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>But the assistant secretary of defense for international security affairs, Celeste Wallander, warned at the hearing that the current funding level “does not preclude” the administration from needing to request more assistance before the end of September.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>To be sure, a lot happened in the intervening years that could have changed the direction of what followed.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Finally, there remains the specter that a desperate Kremlin might escalate the war, such as by direct attacks on supply and training bases in nearby NATO countries or even limited use of nuclear weapons.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Mark Temnycky, a Ukrainian-American journalist and nonresident fellow at the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center said that delays in 2023 allowed Russia to fortify positions in the south and east of Ukraine, regroup and re-strategize.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br /> <br /><br /> <br /><br /></ul><br /><br /><p>It could prove the best chance to achieve the victory that Ukraine and the democratic world need soon, while making it both Putin- and Trump-proof. Some Ukrainian experts fear a pincer movement to encircle Donbas and the east from Sumy in the north and Velyka Novosilka in the south, allowing Russia to occupy most of the four Ukrainian provinces it has unilaterally claimed to have annexed. At this point, Russia could call for a ceasefire to retain what it has, and run a defensive campaign to consolidate its battered military. Professor Mark Edele — Hansen Professor in History at the University of Melbourne and author of a new book, Russia's War Against Ukraine — says there are five possible outcomes to the war. According to Die Welt newspaper, for example, Germany promised 100 Leopard tanks and has delivered 10; promised 357 reconnaissance drones and delivered 27; promised 20 transport vehicles and delivered none. Now that Yevgeny Prigozhin is presumed to have died in a plane crash, the fate of his lucrative paramilitary group hangs in the balance.</p><br /><br />
+
<p>Russia is also massively boosting military spending in 2024, with almost 30% of its fiscal expenditure to be directed toward the armed forces. Its military-industrial complex has also ramped up the production of hardware from drones to aircraft. Ukrainian forces have adopted a more defensive stance as circumstances dictate; a senior army general warned last week that front-line Ukrainian troops face artillery shortages and have scaled back some military operations because of a shortfall of foreign assistance. Weather conditions are deteriorating in Ukraine, with&nbsp;mud, freezing rain, snow and ice making offensive and reconnaissance operations challenging.</p><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><p>Only aircraft deployed to protect energy facilities, or those carrying top Russian or foreign officials, will be allowed to fly with special permission in the designated zones, according to the Vedomosti daily newspaper. Unnamed Indian government sources have suggested India wants to distance itself from Russia, according to Reuters news agency. Mr Szijarto will be in the western Ukrainian city of Uzhhorod with his Ukrainian counterpart Dmytro Kuleba and presidential chief of staff Andriy Yermak. If the US abandons the military alliance, it will fall to European countries to ensure a Ukrainian victory, Mr OBrien says. European countries have largely outsourced much of their military capacity and thinking on strategy and security to the States through NATO. Phillips P OBrien, professor of strategic studies at the University of St Andrews, wrote in an analysis piece&nbsp;that the potential return of Donald Trump to the White House could see the US "neuter" the Western military alliance.</p><br /><br /><h2>Kyiv working to organise visit by Hungary's Orban, Ukraine deputy PM says</h2><br /><br /><p>After liberating a handful of villages in the summer, Ukrainian and Russian forces have been caught in largely attritional battles, with neither side making significant gains. To read how Newsweek uses AI as a newsroom tool, Click here. You can get in touch with Brendan by emailing or follow on him on his X account @brendanmarkcole. Brendan joined Newsweek in 2018 from the International Business Times and well as English, knows Russian and French. Mark Temnycky, a Ukrainian-American journalist and nonresident fellow at the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center said that delays in 2023 allowed Russia to fortify positions in the south and east of Ukraine, regroup and re-strategize. Despite Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, Putin's closest EU ally, vetoing a $55 billion support package from Brussels for Kyiv in mid-December, backing from other European allies has been strong.</p><br /><br /><ul><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>While its forces are pushing to also seize the nearby city of Lysychansk, Russia on Thursday announced the withdrawal of its troops from the strategically important Snake Island.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Peter Szijjarto has arrived in Ukraine for talks with senior officials today.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Emily Harding, a former National Security Council staffer, warned Tuesday that the U.S. and Europe should prepare for 8-10 years of economically disruptive conflict in Ukraine, Roll Call reports.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>I mean, an interesting thing about the regime is, of course, that Putin is the linchpin.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Putin illegally annexed four territories from Ukraine in September and now presents Ukraine's efforts — backed by the West — to take back its own territory as a fascist attack on the Russian homeland.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br /> <br /><br /> <br /><br /></ul><br /><br /><p>And, nevertheless, the Nazi Kiev regime took this step, pursuing the goal to blame Russia for the destruction of the Ukrainian military. "This may indicate deliberate actions by Russia aimed at creating a threat to the life and safety of prisoners," it alleged. Ukraine's intelligence agency said it still did not have reliable and comprehensive information about who was on board and the number of passengers. "It is obvious that the Russians are playing with the lives of Ukrainian prisoners, with the feelings of their relatives and with the emotions of our society," he said.</p><br /><br /><h3>Putin’s ultimate aim is to seal Russia off from the west</h3><br /><br /><p>At the moment, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has riveted the world, drawing more attention than the ongoing slaughters in other nations—a double standard that has been widely noted. But that gap in coverage is likely to become even more striking the longer the conflict continues, because the factors that make a long war in Ukraine seemingly inevitable are the same ones that make it unlikely to slip from the world’s collective radar. If conflicts in places such as Ethiopia, Palestine, Kashmir, Syria, and Yemen have proved anything, it’s that wars are easy to start, but are also brutal, intractable, and difficult to end. The fickle nature of the international media means that protracted conflicts quickly lose the world’s attention, if they ever had it to begin with.</p><br /><br /><ul><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>The plant, on the north-western outskirts of the town, dominates the main road into Avdiivka and, the UK Ministry of Defence (MoD) believes if Russian forces were to secure it, resupplying the town would "become increasingly difficult for Ukraine".</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Alexei Kulemzin said Ukraine was behind the strike on the eastern Ukrainian city, which is currently under Russian occupation.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>"This could be an insurgency that is bigger than our Afghan one in the 1980s in terms of things we could provide them that would really hurt Russia."</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Gen Sanders was not calling for conscription in his speech.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>I mean, the Kremlin has a very effective propaganda apparatus and is successful in inculcating some belief among the ordinary Russians that this is a just war, and thereby driving up the willingness of the Russian people to suffer costs.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br /> <br /><br /> <br /><br /></ul><br /><br /><p>President Putin could seek to regain more parts of Russia's former empire by sending troops into ex-Soviet republics like Moldova and Georgia, that are not part of Nato. Mr Putin could declare Western arms supplies to Ukrainian forces are an act of aggression that warrant retaliation. He could threaten to send troops into the Baltic states - which are members of Nato - such as Lithuania, to establish a land corridor with the Russian coastal exclave of Kaliningrad. [https://notes.io/wiUmm https://notes.io/wiUmm] was the senior Pentagon reporter for Defense News, covering the intersection of national security policy, politics and the defense industry. While defense spending in the United States and Europe is trending upward, in large part because of Russia’s attack, industrial capacity to crank out weapons and ammunition has emerged as a bottleneck.</p><br /><br /><h2>Read more CNBC politics coverage</h2><br /><br /><p>“The narrative is the great struggle of the Cold War,” he said, a framing that has helped to attract new recruits. Perhaps Italian analyst Lucio Caracciolo was the most pessimistic of all. “This war will last indefinitely, with long pauses for cease-fires,” he said. At the same time, election season in the United States — Ukraine’s most important backer — stands to spur arguments that a war in Europe of unknown duration is a costly nuisance for America. WASHINGTON and ROME — Germany’s promise early this year to send tanks to Ukraine marked the country’s latest concession and provided a cap to the gradual escalation in the kind of equipment allies were supplying.</p><br /><br /><br /><br /><p>Industrial-age warfare bends significant parts, or in some cases whole economies, towards the production of war materials as matters of priority. Russia's defence budget has tripled since 2021 and will consume 30% of government spending next year. The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 saw the return of major war to the European continent. The course of the conflict in 2023 marked the fact that industrial-age warfare had returned too.</p><br /><br /><ul><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>One way to do that is with an armistice, a temporary agreement to cease military operations, but one that does not conclude the war decisively.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>The Ukrainian Embassy in Washington told Defense News that Ukraine would not strike Russian territory with longer-range weapons pledged by the United States.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Russia's relationship with the outside world will be different.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>And, surprisingly, Russian and Ukrainian officials have met for talks on the border with Belarus.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br />  <br /><br /> <li>Western leaders have said the war in Ukraine could last for years and will require long-term military support as Russia brought forward reserve forces in an apparent attempt to capture the eastern city of Sievierodonetsk.</li><br /><br />  <br /><br /> <br /><br /> <br /><br /></ul>

Revision as of 23:31, 13 February 2024

Russia is also massively boosting military spending in 2024, with almost 30% of its fiscal expenditure to be directed toward the armed forces. Its military-industrial complex has also ramped up the production of hardware from drones to aircraft. Ukrainian forces have adopted a more defensive stance as circumstances dictate; a senior army general warned last week that front-line Ukrainian troops face artillery shortages and have scaled back some military operations because of a shortfall of foreign assistance. Weather conditions are deteriorating in Ukraine, with mud, freezing rain, snow and ice making offensive and reconnaissance operations challenging.







Only aircraft deployed to protect energy facilities, or those carrying top Russian or foreign officials, will be allowed to fly with special permission in the designated zones, according to the Vedomosti daily newspaper. Unnamed Indian government sources have suggested India wants to distance itself from Russia, according to Reuters news agency. Mr Szijarto will be in the western Ukrainian city of Uzhhorod with his Ukrainian counterpart Dmytro Kuleba and presidential chief of staff Andriy Yermak. If the US abandons the military alliance, it will fall to European countries to ensure a Ukrainian victory, Mr OBrien says. European countries have largely outsourced much of their military capacity and thinking on strategy and security to the States through NATO. Phillips P OBrien, professor of strategic studies at the University of St Andrews, wrote in an analysis piece that the potential return of Donald Trump to the White House could see the US "neuter" the Western military alliance.



Kyiv working to organise visit by Hungary's Orban, Ukraine deputy PM says



After liberating a handful of villages in the summer, Ukrainian and Russian forces have been caught in largely attritional battles, with neither side making significant gains. To read how Newsweek uses AI as a newsroom tool, Click here. You can get in touch with Brendan by emailing or follow on him on his X account @brendanmarkcole. Brendan joined Newsweek in 2018 from the International Business Times and well as English, knows Russian and French. Mark Temnycky, a Ukrainian-American journalist and nonresident fellow at the Atlantic Council's Eurasia Center said that delays in 2023 allowed Russia to fortify positions in the south and east of Ukraine, regroup and re-strategize. Despite Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, Putin's closest EU ally, vetoing a $55 billion support package from Brussels for Kyiv in mid-December, backing from other European allies has been strong.











  • While its forces are pushing to also seize the nearby city of Lysychansk, Russia on Thursday announced the withdrawal of its troops from the strategically important Snake Island.








  • Peter Szijjarto has arrived in Ukraine for talks with senior officials today.








  • Emily Harding, a former National Security Council staffer, warned Tuesday that the U.S. and Europe should prepare for 8-10 years of economically disruptive conflict in Ukraine, Roll Call reports.








  • I mean, an interesting thing about the regime is, of course, that Putin is the linchpin.








  • Putin illegally annexed four territories from Ukraine in September and now presents Ukraine's efforts — backed by the West — to take back its own territory as a fascist attack on the Russian homeland.










And, nevertheless, the Nazi Kiev regime took this step, pursuing the goal to blame Russia for the destruction of the Ukrainian military. "This may indicate deliberate actions by Russia aimed at creating a threat to the life and safety of prisoners," it alleged. Ukraine's intelligence agency said it still did not have reliable and comprehensive information about who was on board and the number of passengers. "It is obvious that the Russians are playing with the lives of Ukrainian prisoners, with the feelings of their relatives and with the emotions of our society," he said.



Putin’s ultimate aim is to seal Russia off from the west



At the moment, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has riveted the world, drawing more attention than the ongoing slaughters in other nations—a double standard that has been widely noted. But that gap in coverage is likely to become even more striking the longer the conflict continues, because the factors that make a long war in Ukraine seemingly inevitable are the same ones that make it unlikely to slip from the world’s collective radar. If conflicts in places such as Ethiopia, Palestine, Kashmir, Syria, and Yemen have proved anything, it’s that wars are easy to start, but are also brutal, intractable, and difficult to end. The fickle nature of the international media means that protracted conflicts quickly lose the world’s attention, if they ever had it to begin with.











  • The plant, on the north-western outskirts of the town, dominates the main road into Avdiivka and, the UK Ministry of Defence (MoD) believes if Russian forces were to secure it, resupplying the town would "become increasingly difficult for Ukraine".








  • Alexei Kulemzin said Ukraine was behind the strike on the eastern Ukrainian city, which is currently under Russian occupation.








  • "This could be an insurgency that is bigger than our Afghan one in the 1980s in terms of things we could provide them that would really hurt Russia."








  • Gen Sanders was not calling for conscription in his speech.








  • I mean, the Kremlin has a very effective propaganda apparatus and is successful in inculcating some belief among the ordinary Russians that this is a just war, and thereby driving up the willingness of the Russian people to suffer costs.










President Putin could seek to regain more parts of Russia's former empire by sending troops into ex-Soviet republics like Moldova and Georgia, that are not part of Nato. Mr Putin could declare Western arms supplies to Ukrainian forces are an act of aggression that warrant retaliation. He could threaten to send troops into the Baltic states - which are members of Nato - such as Lithuania, to establish a land corridor with the Russian coastal exclave of Kaliningrad. https://notes.io/wiUmm was the senior Pentagon reporter for Defense News, covering the intersection of national security policy, politics and the defense industry. While defense spending in the United States and Europe is trending upward, in large part because of Russia’s attack, industrial capacity to crank out weapons and ammunition has emerged as a bottleneck.



Read more CNBC politics coverage



“The narrative is the great struggle of the Cold War,” he said, a framing that has helped to attract new recruits. Perhaps Italian analyst Lucio Caracciolo was the most pessimistic of all. “This war will last indefinitely, with long pauses for cease-fires,” he said. At the same time, election season in the United States — Ukraine’s most important backer — stands to spur arguments that a war in Europe of unknown duration is a costly nuisance for America. WASHINGTON and ROME — Germany’s promise early this year to send tanks to Ukraine marked the country’s latest concession and provided a cap to the gradual escalation in the kind of equipment allies were supplying.





Industrial-age warfare bends significant parts, or in some cases whole economies, towards the production of war materials as matters of priority. Russia's defence budget has tripled since 2021 and will consume 30% of government spending next year. The Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 saw the return of major war to the European continent. The course of the conflict in 2023 marked the fact that industrial-age warfare had returned too.











  • One way to do that is with an armistice, a temporary agreement to cease military operations, but one that does not conclude the war decisively.








  • The Ukrainian Embassy in Washington told Defense News that Ukraine would not strike Russian territory with longer-range weapons pledged by the United States.








  • Russia's relationship with the outside world will be different.








  • And, surprisingly, Russian and Ukrainian officials have met for talks on the border with Belarus.








  • Western leaders have said the war in Ukraine could last for years and will require long-term military support as Russia brought forward reserve forces in an apparent attempt to capture the eastern city of Sievierodonetsk.